摘要：【中文】本发明涉及一种新能源预测功率的优化方法和系统，包括：根据各历史时刻新能源预测功率偏差值确定预测时刻新能源预测功率优化值；利用预测时刻新能源预测功率优化值修正预测时刻新能源预测功率。本发明提供的技术方案，基于新能源发电与气象信息的高度相关性，提出新能源预测功率的优化方法，并利用该优化方法对新能源预测功率进行优化，从而提升新能源功率预测的精度。 【EN】The invention relates to a method and a system for optimizing predicted power of new energy, which comprises the following steps: determining a new energy prediction power optimization value at the prediction moment according to the new energy prediction power deviation value at each historical moment; and correcting the predicted new energy power at the predicted time by using the predicted new energy power optimized value at the predicted time. According to the technical scheme provided by the invention, based on the high correlation between the new energy power generation and the meteorological information, an optimization method of the new energy predicted power is provided, and the new energy predicted power is optimized by using the optimization method, so that the accuracy of the new energy power prediction is improved.

摘要：【中文】本发明提供了一种基于新能源优先消纳的调度决策优化调整方法，包括：基于非新能源发电商预先投标得到的售电投标价和供电商预先投标得到的购电投标价确定交易电价；根据供电商的投标电价和非新能源发电商的投标电价分别确定所述供电商和非新能源发电商的优先级；基于所述供电商和非新能源发电商的优先级，考虑新能源发电商的电量和预测值确定预测误差，进行电量和电价核算，完成交易出清；采用集中交易市场的竞价行为和实时市场的调控手段，准确反映新能源实际消纳能力存在的复杂变化，对新能源进行合理化的利用，最大限度的发挥新能源调度优化的作用，保障电力消纳的平衡。 【EN】The invention provides a scheduling decision optimization and adjustment method based on new energy preferential consumption, which comprises the following steps: determining a trading electricity price based on an electricity selling tender price obtained by pre-bidding of a non-new energy power generator and an electricity purchasing tender price obtained by pre-bidding of a power supplier; determining the priority of the power supplier and the priority of the non-new energy power generator according to the bidding price of the power supplier and the bidding price of the non-new energy power generator; determining a prediction error by considering the electric quantity and a predicted value of the new energy power generator based on the priority of the power supplier and the priority of the non-new energy power generator, and carrying out electric quantity and electric price accounting to complete the clearing of the transaction; by adopting a competitive bidding behavior of a centralized trading market and a regulation and control means of a real-time market, the complex change of the actual consumption capacity of the new energy is accurately reflected, the new energy is reasonably utilized, the scheduling and optimization effect of the new energy is exerted to the maximum extent, and the balance of power consumption is guaranteed.